China and Taiwan: A repeat of Ukraine waiting to Happen

China has for a long time held that Taiwan is not independent, but a part of China undergoing an internal conflict. They claim that Taiwan is not like Ukraine, because it's independence has not been internationally recognized. On the other hand, nations like Australia, Japan and The United States have pledged their assistance and recognizition for the sovereignty of Taiwan.

Why does China want Taiwan? Taiwan is the global hub for microchips, making it not only a strategic economic ally, but also a great danger for the Chinese communist party. A westernized Taiwan can mean the begining of the end for the communist party. If not brought under the control China, they risk being alienated from the worlds technological advancements. A great example can be seen as a result of the invasion of Ukraine. The Russian Federation has been restricted from buying, using or trading technology, such as microchips. This technology is crucial to the creation of a number of electronics and weapons. Without them, Russia is effectively being kneecapped in their efforts to create technologically sophisticated electronics.

An invasion of Taiwan seems like a far away thought, but the same was said about Ukraine. An initial invasion of Taiwan will most start with missile attacks and/or aerial assaults on the island. Chinese fighters will likely begin by bombing military airports and airstrips, attempting to neutralize Taiwaneese airsupport before they can get into the air.

Once the airspace is controlled, China will look to put boots on the ground in Taiwan. This can happen in two ways. First, China may attempt to cross the Taiwan Strait using naval personnel carriers. Similar to the beach landings on normandy, the Chinese may attempt to supress Taiwanese beach defenses before making a landing attempt. While it is the most straight forward line of attack, it is also dependent on the complete suppresion of Taiwaneese land and air defenses. The second way China might invade combines beach landings and air assault operations. An initial wave of air assault forces will force Taiwan to begin to defend key positions from the ground before a wave of Chinese personnel can land on the beaches. Leading the Taiwaneese to having to defend multiple positions at once.

Victory in Taiwan will rely on the international community. If left alone, Taiwan faces a steep mountain. Overwhelming numbers of chinese personnel and weaponry will test the military doctrine of Taiwan. Will deterents work with China? Will the war in Ukraine embolden China to attack? What are your thoughts?